11-9051.00

Food Service Managers

Plan, direct, or coordinate activities of an organization or department that serves food and beverages.

2.2OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Low Risk

Your job is remarkably safe from AI

Safer than 17% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 8% probability of automation for this role
paper →
17%
of jobs safer
848
jobs riskier than this
+6.4%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Hybrid Threat

Both AI software and physical automation threaten different aspects of this role, creating a compound risk from multiple directions.

Food service managers rely on judgment about food safety, staff scheduling, and customer experience that is partially addressable by AI tools like HotSchedules (now Fourth) and Toast's predictive inventory systems. However, real-time kitchen management, handling health inspections, and motivating hourly workers are inherently human tasks in a physically dynamic environment. The role is resilient through 2027, though AI will meaningfully reduce the labor hours needed for ordering, scheduling, and waste tracking.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsChatGPT / GPT-4oAmazon Robotics

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$65,310
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+6.4%
Faster than average
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 2 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

2.2
2.5
2.8
3.4
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Active Listening65%
Speaking60%
Coordination62%
Monitoring58%
Time Management55%

Similar Safe Careers

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Food Service Managers

2.2
/ 10
Low Risk
22% automation risk

"The robots looked at your job and said 'nah, too human.'"

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FOOD SERVICE MANAGERS
2.2

/ 10

LOW RISK

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You're safer than 17% of all knowledge workers we track.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →