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13-1082.00

Project Management Specialists

Analyze and coordinate the schedule, timeline, procurement, staffing, and budget of a product or service on a per project basis. Lead and guide the work of technical staff.

5.0OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Moderate Risk

AI will partially reshape this role

Safer than 52% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 46% probability of automation for this role
paper →
52%
of jobs safer
67
jobs riskier than this
+6.8%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Hybrid Threat

Both AI software and physical automation threaten different aspects of this role, creating a compound risk from multiple directions.

AI project management tools (Linear AI, Jira AI, Asana AI) automate task assignment, risk flagging, and status reporting. However, stakeholder alignment, managing team dynamics, making judgment calls under uncertainty, and the leadership aspects of project delivery still require experienced project managers. The routine coordination layer is most exposed.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsChatGPT / GPT-4oAmazon Robotics

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$98,580
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+6.8%
Faster than average
Education Required
Bachelor's degree
Job Zone 4 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

5.0
5.3
5.6
6.2
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Critical Thinking80%
Active Learning75%
Complex Problem Solving78%
Judgment and Decision Making82%
Reading Comprehension72%

Career Pivot Paths

If you're a Project Management Specialists, consider pivoting toward these lower-risk roles:

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Project Management Specialists

5.0
/ 10
Moderate Risk
50% automation risk

"Safe-ish. AI is your coworker, not your replacement. Yet."

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PROJECT MANAGEMENT SPECIALISTS
5.0

/ 10

MODERATE RISK

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You're safer than a Team Assemblers but riskier than a Veterinarians.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →