13-2082.00

Tax Preparers

Prepare tax returns for individuals or small businesses. Excludes accountants and auditors.

9.2OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

The bots have your desk already — start pivoting

Top 1% most at-risk occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 99% probability of automation for this role
paper →
Top 1%
most at-risk
0
jobs riskier than this
-4.0%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Software & AI

AI software systems—language models, automation tools, and intelligent algorithms—are the primary vector of disruption for this role.

Tax preparation is one of the most thoroughly automated professional services. TurboTax AI, H&R Block AI, Harvey AI, and dedicated tax AI now handle most personal and small business returns better than human preparers. The IRS's Direct File program, AI-powered audit support, and expanding LLM capabilities for tax law interpretation make this role extremely vulnerable. Among the highest AI displacement risks of any profession.

Disrupted byGitHub CopilotChatGPT / GPT-4oSalesforce Einstein

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$46,290
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
-4.0%
Declining
Education Required
Some college
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

9.2
9.9
10.0
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Career Pivot Paths

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Tax Preparers

9.2
/ 10
High Risk
92% automation risk

"TurboTax AI filed your replacement papers while you were at lunch."

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TAX PREPARERS
9.2

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Speech-Language Pathologists (score: 2.5). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →