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15-1251.00

Computer Programmers

Create, modify, and test the code and scripts that allow computer applications to run. Work from specifications drawn up by software and web developers.

8.2OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

The robots are coming for your paycheck

Top 8% most at-risk occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 48% probability of automation for this role
paper →
Top 8%
most at-risk
11
jobs riskier than this
-10.7%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Software & AI

AI software systems—language models, automation tools, and intelligent algorithms—are the primary vector of disruption for this role.

GitHub Copilot, Cursor, and Claude for coding now generate production-quality code for well-defined tasks. A 2024 METR study found AI can autonomously complete 50%+ of software engineering tasks on standard benchmarks. Routine implementation, boilerplate, and CRUD work are heavily AI-assisted. The role is rapidly shifting toward prompting, reviewing, and architecting rather than writing lines of code — and that shift is accelerating.

Disrupted byGitHub CopilotChatGPT / GPT-4oSalesforce Einstein

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$97,800
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
-10.7%
Declining
Education Required
Bachelor's degree
Job Zone 4 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

8.2
8.9
9.7
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Critical Thinking80%
Active Learning75%
Complex Problem Solving78%
Judgment and Decision Making82%
Reading Comprehension72%

Career Pivot Paths

If you're a Computer Programmers, consider pivoting toward these lower-risk roles:

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Computer Programmers

8.2
/ 10
High Risk
82% automation risk

"You write the code that writes the code that writes the code that replaces you."

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I just checked if I'm cooked as a Computer Programmers 🤖 AI risk score: 8.2/10 — High Risk "You write the code that writes the code that writes the code that replaces you." Check yours 👇 https://amicooked-five.vercel.app/results/15-1251.00 #AmICooked #AI #FutureOfWork

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COMPUTER PROGRAMMERS
8.2

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Veterinarians (score: 2.5). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →