15-1256.00

Web Developers

Develop and implement websites, web applications, and web services. Design and program websites using various web technologies.

7.5OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

This role faces substantial AI disruption

More at risk than 87% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 38% probability of automation for this role
paper →
87%
of jobs safer
19
jobs riskier than this
+16.0%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Software & AI

AI software systems—language models, automation tools, and intelligent algorithms—are the primary vector of disruption for this role.

AI code generators (GitHub Copilot, v0 by Vercel, Cursor) now scaffold entire web applications from prompts. Front-end development — HTML, CSS, React components — is heavily AI-assisted in 2024-2025. Routine website builds are near-fully automatable; complex interactive apps requiring architecture decisions and performance tuning still need human developers, but the displacement is rapid and accelerating.

Disrupted byGitHub CopilotChatGPT / GPT-4oSalesforce Einstein

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$78,580
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+16.0%
Much faster than average
Education Required
Associate's degree
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

7.5
8.3
9.0
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Career Pivot Paths

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Web Developers

7.5
/ 10
High Risk
75% automation risk

"Let's just say your LinkedIn is about to get very busy."

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WEB DEVELOPERS
7.5

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses (score: 2.5). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →