19-2021.00

Atmospheric and Space Scientists

Investigate atmospheric phenomena and interpret meteorological data, gathered by surface and air stations, satellites, and radar to prepare reports and forecasts for public and other uses. Includes weather analysts and forecasters whose functions require the detailed knowledge of meteorology.

7.2OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

This role faces substantial AI disruption

More at risk than 69% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 67% probability of automation for this role
paper →
69%
of jobs safer
315
jobs riskier than this
+0.7%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Hybrid Threat

Both AI software and physical automation threaten different aspects of this role, creating a compound risk from multiple directions.

Atmospheric and space scientists rely on increasingly AI-driven models: NVIDIA's FourCastNet and Google DeepMind's GraphCast have shown AI weather forecasting can match or exceed traditional NWP models on medium-range forecasts. However, research scientists who develop these AI systems, interpret edge cases, and communicate forecast uncertainty to policymakers remain essential. By 2027, operational forecasters at agencies like NOAA may see headcount pressure as AI systems require less human correction, while research scientists remain in demand.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsChatGPT / GPT-4oAmazon Robotics

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$97,450
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+0.7%
Little or no change
Education Required
Bachelor's degree
Job Zone 4 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

7.2
8.0
8.7
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Critical Thinking80%
Active Learning75%
Complex Problem Solving78%
Judgment and Decision Making82%
Reading Comprehension72%

Career Pivot Paths

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Atmospheric and Space Scientists

7.2
/ 10
High Risk
72% automation risk

"You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven."

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ATMOSPHERIC AND SPACE SCIENTISTS
7.2

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Logistics Engineers (score: 1.6). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →