19-2042.00

Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers

Study the composition, structure, and other physical aspects of the Earth. May use geological, physics, and mathematics knowledge in exploration for oil, gas, minerals, or underground water; or in waste disposal, land reclamation, or other environmental problems. May study the Earth's internal composition, atmospheres, and oceans, and its magnetic, electrical, and gravitational forces. Includes mineralogists, paleontologists, stratigraphers, geodesists, and seismologists.

6.9OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Moderate Risk

AI will significantly reshape this role

Safer than 64% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 63% probability of automation for this role
paper →
64%
of jobs safer
373
jobs riskier than this
+3.2%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Hybrid Threat

Both AI software and physical automation threaten different aspects of this role, creating a compound risk from multiple directions.

Geoscientists use AI for seismic interpretation (Schlumberger's Petrel AI, Halliburton's DecisionSpace), subsurface modeling, and mineral exploration targeting, with machine learning models identifying patterns in geophysical data faster than manual interpretation. Field mapping, drilling supervision, and regulatory permitting require licensed professionals on-site. The oil-and-gas sector contraction offsets some growth in mining and environmental geoscience, with AI keeping headcount flat rather than growing through 2027.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsChatGPT / GPT-4oAmazon Robotics

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$99,240
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+3.2%
As fast as average
Education Required
Bachelor's degree
Job Zone 5 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

6.9
7.7
8.4
9.9
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Critical Thinking80%
Active Learning75%
Complex Problem Solving78%
Judgment and Decision Making82%
Reading Comprehension72%

Career Pivot Paths

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Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers

6.9
/ 10
Moderate Risk
69% automation risk

"You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven."

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GEOSCIENTISTS, EXCEPT HYDROLOGISTS AND GEOGRAPHERS
6.9

/ 10

MODERATE RISK

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This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →