27-2023.00

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials

Officiate at competitive athletic or sporting events. Detect infractions of rules and decide penalties according to established regulations. Includes all sporting officials, referees, and competition judges.

9.4OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

The bots have your desk already — start pivoting

Top 1% most at-risk occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 98% probability of automation for this role
paper →
Top 1%
most at-risk
0
jobs riskier than this
+5.7%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Hybrid Threat

Both AI software and physical automation threaten different aspects of this role, creating a compound risk from multiple directions.

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials enforce rules in live sporting events — a role where human presence and authority are part of the sporting tradition, even as AI tools like Hawk-Eye tennis officiating, NFL AI replay review, and automated balls/strikes in baseball are taking over specific calls. Full replacement is unlikely through 2027, but the scope of human officiating is narrowing as technology handles objective line calls.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsChatGPT / GPT-4oAmazon Robotics

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$38,820
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+5.7%
Faster than average
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 2 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

9.4
10.0
10.0
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Active Listening65%
Speaking60%
Coordination62%
Monitoring58%
Time Management55%

Career Pivot Paths

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Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials

9.4
/ 10
High Risk
94% automation risk

"Your job is so automatable, AI finished this analysis before you loaded the page."

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UMPIRES, REFEREES, AND OTHER SPORTS OFFICIALS
9.4

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →