29-1249.00

Surgeons, All Other

All surgeons not listed separately.

5.5OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Moderate Risk

AI will partially reshape this role

Safer than 56% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 50% probability of automation for this role
paper →
56%
of jobs safer
445
jobs riskier than this
0.0%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Human-Centric

This occupation relies heavily on human judgment, empathy, creativity, or physical dexterity that remains beyond current AI capabilities.

Surgeons in diverse specialties increasingly work with robotic surgical systems like Intuitive's da Vinci and AI-guided tools that improve precision and enable minimally invasive approaches. However, surgical decision-making, intraoperative judgment, and patient-facing care remain physician responsibilities. The 2025-2027 outlook is positive; surgical volumes grow and robotic systems augment surgeon capability rather than replacing human surgeons—though fewer residents may be needed for support roles as AI assists.

Augmented byAI augmentation tools

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
N/A
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
0.0%
Little or no change
Education Required
Some college, no degree
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

5.5
5.8
6.1
6.7
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Career Pivot Paths

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Surgeons, All Other

5.5
/ 10
Moderate Risk
55% automation risk

"Safe-ish. AI is your coworker, not your replacement. Yet."

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SURGEONS, ALL OTHER
5.5

/ 10

MODERATE RISK

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You're safer than a Construction Laborers but riskier than a Forensic Science Technicians.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →