35-3011.00

Bartenders

Mix and serve drinks to patrons, directly or through waitstaff.

8.0OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

The robots are coming for your paycheck

More at risk than 75% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 77% probability of automation for this role
paper →
75%
of jobs safer
258
jobs riskier than this
+5.9%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Bartenders work in a hospitality environment where cocktail robots like Makr Shakr have been deployed in some venues for simple, high-volume orders. The guest experience—conversation, reading preferences, creating atmosphere—is irreducibly human. By 2027, automated dispensing handles fast-casual and convenience bar formats, but full-service bar and cocktail culture employment remains stable, with AI assisting back-of-house inventory management rather than replacing bartenders.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$33,530
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+5.9%
Faster than average
Education Required
No formal educational credential
Job Zone 2 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

8.0
8.8
9.5
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Active Listening65%
Speaking60%
Coordination62%
Monitoring58%
Time Management55%

Career Pivot Paths

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Bartenders

8.0
/ 10
High Risk
80% automation risk

"Let's just say your LinkedIn is about to get very busy."

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BARTENDERS
8.0

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Regulatory Affairs Managers (score: 3.6). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →