35-3023.01

Baristas

Prepare or serve specialty coffee or other beverages. Serve food such as baked goods or sandwiches to patrons.

8.0OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

The robots are coming for your paycheck

More at risk than 75% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 50% probability of automation for this role
paper →
75%
of jobs safer
258
jobs riskier than this
+6.1%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Automated espresso machines and AI-driven ordering kiosks handle beverage execution and order processing, reducing the routine task load for baristas. Customer interaction, crafting customized drinks for regulars, latte art, maintaining the café ambiance, and up-selling are relational functions that sustain the barista role in specialty coffee culture. Through 2027 AI automation will pressure barista employment in high-volume chains while specialty cafés, where human craft and atmosphere are the product, remain relatively insulated.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$30,480
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+6.1%
Faster than average
Education Required
No formal educational credential
Job Zone 1 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

8.0
8.8
9.5
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Active Listening65%
Speaking60%
Coordination62%
Monitoring58%
Time Management55%

Career Pivot Paths

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Baristas

8.0
/ 10
High Risk
80% automation risk

"Let's just say your LinkedIn is about to get very busy."

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BARISTAS
8.0

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Aerospace Engineers (score: 1.6). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →