43-1011.00

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers

Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of clerical and administrative support workers.

1.6OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Low Risk

You're basically automation-proof

Only 8% of jobs we track are safer than this

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 1% probability of automation for this role
paper →
8%
of jobs safer
939
jobs riskier than this
-0.3%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Software & AI

AI software systems—language models, automation tools, and intelligent algorithms—are the primary vector of disruption for this role.

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers manage staff doing clerical and administrative work — a role whose relevance is tied to the headcount of the staff they supervise. As AI tools like Microsoft Copilot and Workday AI reduce the need for administrative support staff, the supervisory layer faces indirect displacement pressure. The role is at moderate risk through 2027 as administrative teams shrink.

Disrupted byGitHub CopilotChatGPT / GPT-4oSalesforce Einstein

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$66,140
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
-0.3%
Little or no change
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

1.6
1.9
2.2
2.8
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Similar Safe Careers

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First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers

1.6
/ 10
Low Risk
16% automation risk

"Congrats — you are delightfully robot-proof. Go touch some grass."

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FIRST-LINE SUPERVISORS OF OFFICE AND ADMINISTRATIVE SUPPORT WORKERS
1.6

/ 10

LOW RISK

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You're safer than 8% of all knowledge workers we track.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →