45-1011.00

First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers

Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of agricultural, forestry, aquacultural, and related workers.

6.4OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Moderate Risk

AI will significantly reshape this role

Safer than 60% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 57% probability of automation for this role
paper →
60%
of jobs safer
408
jobs riskier than this
+2.5%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

First-line supervisors of farming, fishing, and forestry workers manage seasonal agricultural labor crews and fishing/forestry operations — physical, outdoor supervisory roles where real-time crew direction, safety oversight, and operational adaptation to weather and conditions are central. AI has limited penetration in field-level agricultural supervision, though precision agriculture platforms (John Deere's Operations Center, Climate FieldView) assist with planning and monitoring. Through 2027, the supervisory function in agriculture is resilient, with the underlying labor pool being more affected by agricultural robotics than the supervisory role.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$59,330
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+2.5%
As fast as average
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

6.4
7.2
7.9
9.4
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Career Pivot Paths

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First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers

6.4
/ 10
Moderate Risk
64% automation risk

"You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven."

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FIRST-LINE SUPERVISORS OF FARMING, FISHING, AND FORESTRY WORKERS
6.4

/ 10

MODERATE RISK

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You're safer than a Pharmacy Aides but riskier than a Lodging Managers.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →