47-2031.00

Carpenters

Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters.

3.8OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Low Risk

Your job is relatively safe from AI

Safer than 35% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 72% probability of automation for this role
paper →
35%
of jobs safer
91
jobs riskier than this
+2.3%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Construction robotics exists for specific tasks (rebar tying, bricklaying with SAM100, Hadrian X) but the full scope of carpentry — unstructured environments, complex problem-solving on non-standard jobsites, physical adaptability — remains far beyond current robot capabilities. Full-site automation is likely decades away.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$57,690
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+2.3%
As fast as average
Education Required
High school diploma
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

3.8
4.1
4.4
5.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Similar Safe Careers

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Carpenters

3.8
/ 10
Low Risk
38% automation risk

"The robots tried to wire a house. Still haven't found their way out of the walls."

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CARPENTERS
3.8

/ 10

LOW RISK

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You're safer than 35% of all knowledge workers we track.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →