47-2071.00

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

Operate equipment used for applying concrete, asphalt, or other materials to road beds, parking lots, or airport runways and taxiways or for tamping gravel, dirt, or other materials. Includes concrete and asphalt paving machine operators, form tampers, tamping machine operators, and stone spreader operators.

8.4OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

The robots are coming for your paycheck

More at risk than 80% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 83% probability of automation for this role
paper →
80%
of jobs safer
204
jobs riskier than this
+3.2%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Paving, surfacing, and tamping equipment operators run asphalt, concrete, and compaction machinery in road and surface construction — a physically intense, outdoor trade where GPS-guided machine control (Trimble, Leica) and telematics assist with grade and alignment but human operators remain essential for equipment control and site judgment. Full automation of paving operations in complex urban environments remains technically challenging. Through 2027, the role is stable with infrastructure investment driving demand and AI functioning as an operator-assist tool rather than a replacement.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$51,650
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+3.2%
As fast as average
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 2 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

8.4
9.2
9.9
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Active Listening65%
Speaking60%
Coordination62%
Monitoring58%
Time Management55%

Career Pivot Paths

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Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

8.4
/ 10
High Risk
84% automation risk

"Let's just say your LinkedIn is about to get very busy."

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PAVING, SURFACING, AND TAMPING EQUIPMENT OPERATORS
8.4

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Solar Energy Systems Engineers (score: 1.6). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →