47-2211.00
Sheet Metal Workers
Fabricate, assemble, install, and repair sheet metal products and equipment, such as ducts, control boxes, drainpipes, and furnace casings. Work may involve any of the following: setting up and operating fabricating machines to cut, bend, and straighten sheet metal; shaping metal over anvils, blocks, or forms using hammer; operating soldering and welding equipment to join sheet metal parts; or inspecting, assembling, and smoothing seams and joints of burred surfaces. Includes sheet metal duct installers who install prefabricated sheet metal ducts used for heating, air conditioning, or other purposes.
The robots are coming for your paycheck
More at risk than 78% of occupations we track
Disruption Vector
Physical Robots
Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.
Sheet metal work involves fabricating and installing ductwork, flashing, and structural components in variable field conditions that make full automation impractical. AI estimating tools speed up material takeoffs and CNC sheet metal fabricators automate some flat-stock cutting in shop environments. Through 2027 shop-based cutting and forming tasks face modest automation, but field installation and custom fabrication remain highly human; the construction labor shortage keeps wages and demand strong for skilled sheet metal workers.
Salary & Job Outlook
AI Risk Timeline
Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.
Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability
Career Pivot Paths
If you're a Sheet Metal Workers, consider pivoting toward these lower-risk roles:
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Sheet Metal Workers
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You're more at risk than a Aerospace Engineers (score: 1.6). Maybe it's time to rethink.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →