47-4021.00

Elevator and Escalator Installers and Repairers

Assemble, install, repair, or maintain electric or hydraulic freight or passenger elevators, escalators, or dumbwaiters.

Moderate Risk

AI will start nibbling at this role

Safer than 41% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 39% probability of automation for this role

paper →

41%

of jobs safer

600

jobs riskier than this

+5.0%

projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Elevator and Escalator Installers and Repairers work with complex mechanical and electrical systems in vertical transportation—a specialized trade where precise physical installation, electrical systems expertise, and safety-critical adjustments require skilled human technicians. AI-enhanced predictive maintenance systems (OTIS ONE, Schindler Ahead) are used by these technicians, not to replace them. Through 2027, the role is stable and growing with urbanization and aging elevator stock requiring modernization.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay

$106,580

US Bureau of Labor Statistics

10-Year Job Growth

+5.0%

Faster than average

Education Required

High school diploma or equivalent

Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

4.8

5.1

5.4

6.0

Today

Current AI exposure

5 Years

Near-term outlook

10 Years

Medium-term risk

20 Years

Long-term trajectory

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)

AI-resistant (2)

Mixed

Active Listening75%

Speaking72%

Service Orientation70%

Coordination68%

Time Management65%

Career Pivot Paths

If you're a Elevator and Escalator Installers and Repairers, consider pivoting toward these lower-risk roles:

ChoreographersFaster than average

Hybrid Threat·Risk: 1.5/10·-3.3 pts safer

Forensic Science TechniciansMuch faster than average

Hybrid Threat·Risk: 1.6/10·-3.2 pts safer

Makeup Artists, Theatrical and PerformanceFaster than average

Human-Centric·Risk: 1.6/10·-3.2 pts safer

Veterinary Technologists and TechniciansFaster than average

Human-Centric·Risk: 1.7/10·-3.1 pts safer

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Elevator and Escalator Installers and Repairers

4.8

/ 10

Moderate Risk

48% automation risk

"Safe-ish. AI is your coworker, not your replacement. Yet."

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ELEVATOR AND ESCALATOR INSTALLERS AND REPAIRERS

4.8

/ 10

MODERATE RISK

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You're safer than a Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel but riskier than a Environmental Engineers.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →