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47-5022.00

Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining

Operate or tend machinery at surface mining site, equipped with scoops, shovels, or buckets to excavate and load loose materials.

7.0OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

This role faces substantial AI disruption

More at risk than 68% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 50% probability of automation for this role
paper →
68%
of jobs safer
332
jobs riskier than this
-0.4%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Excavating and Loading Machine Operators work surface mining equipment — physical operation roles where AI-assisted automation (autonomous haul trucks from Caterpillar and Komatsu) is advancing, particularly in large-scale open-pit mining. The mining sector is one of the leaders in autonomous equipment deployment, and operator roles face meaningful displacement pressure through 2027, particularly in large operations.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$52,550
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
-0.4%
Little or no change
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 2 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

7.0
7.8
8.5
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Active Listening65%
Speaking60%
Coordination62%
Monitoring58%
Time Management55%

Career Pivot Paths

If you're a Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining, consider pivoting toward these lower-risk roles:

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Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining

7.0
/ 10
High Risk
70% automation risk

"You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven."

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EXCAVATING AND LOADING MACHINE AND DRAGLINE OPERATORS, SURFACE MINING
7.0

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Energy Engineers, Except Wind and Solar (score: 1.6). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →