49-3031.00

Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists

Diagnose, adjust, repair, or overhaul buses and trucks, or maintain and repair any type of diesel engines. Includes mechanics working primarily with automobile or marine diesel engines.

7.7OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

This role faces substantial AI disruption

More at risk than 72% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 73% probability of automation for this role
paper →
72%
of jobs safer
286
jobs riskier than this
+2.4%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

AI diagnostic platforms like Texa and Delphi's AI-enhanced OBD tools can rapidly diagnose fault codes and suggest repair procedures, but the physical repair of diesel engines and truck drivetrains requires skilled mechanics with tools in hand. Diesel engine overhauls, brake work, transmission service, and managing complex on-highway failures in the field are hands-on. Through 2027 AI accelerates diagnostics but does not reduce mechanical labor requirements; the truck mechanic shortage makes this one of the most undersupplied skilled trades.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$60,640
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+2.4%
As fast as average
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

7.7
8.4
9.2
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Career Pivot Paths

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Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists

7.7
/ 10
High Risk
77% automation risk

"Let's just say your LinkedIn is about to get very busy."

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BUS AND TRUCK MECHANICS AND DIESEL ENGINE SPECIALISTS
7.7

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Energy Engineers, Except Wind and Solar (score: 1.6). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →