49-9041.00

Industrial Machinery Mechanics

Repair, install, adjust, or maintain industrial production and processing machinery or refinery and pipeline distribution systems. May also install, dismantle, or move machinery and heavy equipment according to plans.

7.2OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

This role faces substantial AI disruption

More at risk than 69% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 67% probability of automation for this role
paper →
69%
of jobs safer
315
jobs riskier than this
+16.1%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Industrial machinery mechanics maintain and repair production equipment across manufacturing, mining, and utilities where AI predictive maintenance platforms like SparkCognition, Uptake, and Aspentech APM can schedule maintenance proactively rather than reactively. The physical repair work—bearing replacement, hydraulic system repair, CNC calibration—requires skilled human mechanics. The 2025-2027 outlook is strongly positive; manufacturing investment and the shift from reactive to predictive maintenance create more demand for skilled mechanics, not less.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$63,760
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+16.1%
Much faster than average
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

7.2
8.0
8.7
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Career Pivot Paths

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Industrial Machinery Mechanics

7.2
/ 10
High Risk
72% automation risk

"You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven."

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INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY MECHANICS
7.2

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Forensic Science Technicians (score: 1.6). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →