49-9044.00

Millwrights

Install, dismantle, or move machinery and heavy equipment according to layout plans, blueprints, or other drawings.

6.5OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Moderate Risk

AI will significantly reshape this role

Safer than 61% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 59% probability of automation for this role
paper →
61%
of jobs safer
396
jobs riskier than this
0.0%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

AI predictive maintenance platforms flag millwright-relevant equipment anomalies early, giving millwrights better diagnostic information before they begin work. The physical precision alignment of industrial machinery, rigging, and installation of complex mechanical systems requires master-level craft skills that robotics cannot replicate in industrial environments. Through 2027 millwrights are among the most AI-insulated skilled trades; industrial facilities are expanding automation investments which actually increases demand for the millwrights who install and maintain that equipment.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$65,170
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
0.0%
Little or no change
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 2 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

6.5
7.3
8.0
9.5
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Active Listening65%
Speaking60%
Coordination62%
Monitoring58%
Time Management55%

Career Pivot Paths

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Millwrights

6.5
/ 10
Moderate Risk
65% automation risk

"You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven."

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MILLWRIGHTS
6.5

/ 10

MODERATE RISK

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This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →