49-9092.00

Commercial Divers

Work below surface of water, using surface-supplied air or scuba equipment to inspect, repair, remove, or install equipment and structures. May use a variety of power and hand tools, such as drills, sledgehammers, torches, and welding equipment. May conduct tests or experiments, rig explosives, or photograph structures or marine life.

3.0OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Low Risk

Your job is relatively safe from AI

Safer than 28% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 18% probability of automation for this role
paper →
28%
of jobs safer
739
jobs riskier than this
+8.5%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Commercial Divers perform underwater physical work—inspection, repair, salvage, construction—in conditions that make remote robotics operation impractical for many tasks. Underwater ROVs (Blue Robotics) handle simple inspection tasks, and AI-enhanced sonar assists with navigation, but the physical manipulation and construction work requiring dexterous hands-on work remains human. Through 2027, offshore energy infrastructure and underwater construction maintain steady demand; the role is physically irreplaceable for complex tasks.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$61,130
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+8.5%
Faster than average
Education Required
Postsecondary nondegree award
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

3.0
3.3
3.6
4.2
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Similar Safe Careers

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Commercial Divers

3.0
/ 10
Low Risk
30% automation risk

"The robots looked at your job and said 'nah, too human.'"

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COMMERCIAL DIVERS
3.0

/ 10

LOW RISK

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You're safer than 28% of all knowledge workers we track.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →