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51-1011.00

First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers

Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

1.6OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Low Risk

You're basically automation-proof

Only 8% of jobs we track are safer than this

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 2% probability of automation for this role
paper →
8%
of jobs safer
939
jobs riskier than this
+1.2%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

AI-powered production monitoring systems and robotic process control reduce some of the real-time production tracking burden on first-line supervisors, but human supervisors manage worker safety, handle personnel issues, and maintain quality culture on the floor. Workforce coaching, managing shift transitions, and responding to equipment failures and quality escapes in real time remain human responsibilities. Through 2027 AI augments this supervisory role without displacing it; the human element of managing production workers is a persistent requirement.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$71,190
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+1.2%
Little or no change
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

1.6
1.9
2.2
2.8
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Similar Safe Careers

First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers is already low-risk. Explore similarly safe occupations:

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First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers

1.6
/ 10
Low Risk
16% automation risk

"Congrats — you are delightfully robot-proof. Go touch some grass."

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FIRST-LINE SUPERVISORS OF PRODUCTION AND OPERATING WORKERS
1.6

/ 10

LOW RISK

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You're safer than 8% of all knowledge workers we track.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →