51-4023.00

Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

Set up, operate, or tend machines to roll steel or plastic forming bends, beads, knurls, rolls, or plate, or to flatten, temper, or reduce gauge of material.

8.4OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

The robots are coming for your paycheck

More at risk than 80% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 83% probability of automation for this role
paper →
80%
of jobs safer
204
jobs riskier than this
-8.3%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Rolling Machine Operators work metal and plastic through forming processes — industrial machine operation where CNC and automated systems are advancing. AI-enhanced process control is reducing the need for constant human monitoring, but setup, troubleshooting, and quality inspection retain human value. The role faces gradual displacement pressure as automation advances in metalworking through 2027.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$48,630
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
-8.3%
Declining
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 2 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

8.4
9.2
9.9
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Active Listening65%
Speaking60%
Coordination62%
Monitoring58%
Time Management55%

Career Pivot Paths

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Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

8.4
/ 10
High Risk
84% automation risk

"Let's just say your LinkedIn is about to get very busy."

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ROLLING MACHINE SETTERS, OPERATORS, AND TENDERS, METAL AND PLASTIC
8.4

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Logistics Engineers (score: 1.6). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →