51-4041.00

Machinists

Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

7.1OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

This role faces substantial AI disruption

More at risk than 68% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 65% probability of automation for this role
paper →
68%
of jobs safer
328
jobs riskier than this
0.0%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

AI-driven CNC machining centers can now optimize toolpaths, predict tool wear, and adapt cutting parameters in real time, reducing the judgment burden on machinists for standard parts. Complex setups involving multiple fixturing strategies, first-article inspection interpretation, and programming for unusual geometries still require skilled human machinists. Through 2027 machinist demand faces pressure from lights-out manufacturing in high-volume shops, but the persistent skilled machinist shortage and growth in precision manufacturing sustain demand for experienced practitioners.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$56,150
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
0.0%
Little or no change
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

7.1
7.8
8.6
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Career Pivot Paths

Share Your Results

amicooked-five.vercel.app

Machinists

7.1
/ 10
High Risk
71% automation risk

"You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven."

Tweet preview

I just checked if I'm cooked as a Machinists 🤖 AI risk score: 7.1/10 — High Risk "You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven." Check yours 👇 https://amicooked-five.vercel.app/results/51-4041.00 #AmICooked #AI #FutureOfWork

Your score badge

AM I COOKED?

MACHINISTS
7.1

/ 10

HIGH RISK

amicooked-five.vercel.app

Screenshot this card to share on Instagram or TikTok 📸

You're more at risk than a Logistics Engineers (score: 1.6). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →