51-4062.00

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

Lay out, machine, fit, and assemble castings and parts to metal or plastic foundry patterns, core boxes, or match plates.

8.8OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

The robots are coming for your paycheck

More at risk than 87% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 90% probability of automation for this role
paper →
87%
of jobs safer
131
jobs riskier than this
-24.4%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Patternmakers for Metal and Plastic create patterns and templates used in casting and forming — a skilled manufacturing role requiring precision and problem-solving. CAD/CAM software and 3D printing are transforming but not eliminating patternmaking. AI-assisted design tools are reducing time requirements, but the manufacturing knowledge required remains human. The role is resilient in precision manufacturing contexts through 2027.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$54,540
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
-24.4%
Declining
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

8.8
9.6
10.0
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Career Pivot Paths

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Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

8.8
/ 10
High Risk
88% automation risk

"Let's just say your LinkedIn is about to get very busy."

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PATTERNMAKERS, METAL AND PLASTIC
8.8

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Environmental Engineers (score: 1.7). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →