51-4111.00

Tool and Die Makers

Analyze specifications, lay out metal stock, set up and operate machine tools, and fit and assemble parts to make and repair dies, cutting tools, jigs, fixtures, gauges, and machinists' hand tools.

8.4OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

The robots are coming for your paycheck

More at risk than 80% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 84% probability of automation for this role
paper →
80%
of jobs safer
204
jobs riskier than this
-10.8%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Tool and die makers are among the most highly skilled precision manufacturing workers, creating the dies, jigs, and fixtures that enable mass production. CNC automation has transformed but not eliminated this trade—programming and setup of complex CNC die-sinking and wire EDM equipment requires deep expertise. AI-assisted CAM programming tools like Mastercam AI help generate toolpaths. The 2025-2027 outlook is stable to positive; tool and die makers are in shortage and the role evolves toward CNC programming mastery.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$63,180
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
-10.8%
Declining
Education Required
Postsecondary nondegree award
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

8.4
9.2
9.9
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Career Pivot Paths

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Tool and Die Makers

8.4
/ 10
High Risk
84% automation risk

"Let's just say your LinkedIn is about to get very busy."

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TOOL AND DIE MAKERS
8.4

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Regulatory Affairs Managers (score: 3.6). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →