51-7032.00

Patternmakers, Wood

Plan, lay out, and construct wooden unit or sectional patterns used in forming sand molds for castings.

8.9OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

The robots are coming for your paycheck

More at risk than 88% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 91% probability of automation for this role
paper →
88%
of jobs safer
118
jobs riskier than this
-5.0%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Wood patternmakers create precise patterns and templates used in foundry casting operations — a highly skilled, manual craft requiring extensive knowledge of wood properties, shrinkage allowances, and casting processes. CNC woodworking and 3D printing of patterns is reducing demand for hand-carved wood patterns in some applications, but complex patterns requiring judgment and adjustment still use skilled patternmakers. Through 2027, the occupation continues slow decline as 3D printing and CNC replace traditional pattern-making methods, with AI having minimal additional impact beyond these existing trends.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$52,520
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
-5.0%
Little or no change
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

8.9
9.7
10.0
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Career Pivot Paths

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Patternmakers, Wood

8.9
/ 10
High Risk
89% automation risk

"Let's just say your LinkedIn is about to get very busy."

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PATTERNMAKERS, WOOD
8.9

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Environmental Engineers (score: 1.7). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →