51-9124.00

Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders

Set up, operate, or tend spraying or rolling machines to coat or paint any of a wide variety of products, including glassware, cloth, ceramics, metal, plastic, paper, or wood, with lacquer, silver, copper, rubber, varnish, glaze, enamel, oil, or rust-proofing materials. Includes painters of transportation vehicles such as painters in auto body repair facilities.

7.0OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

This role faces substantial AI disruption

More at risk than 68% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 50% probability of automation for this role
paper →
68%
of jobs safer
332
jobs riskier than this
+0.7%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Coating, painting, and spraying machine operators apply protective and decorative coatings to manufactured parts where robotic painting systems are widespread in automotive manufacturing and large-scale industrial coating. Small-batch, custom, and complex-geometry coating applications still require skilled human operators for setup and quality control. The 2025-2027 outlook is modestly negative; robotic coating automation continues expanding into mid-size production runs, gradually reducing operator demand.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$47,590
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+0.7%
Little or no change
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 2 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

7.0
7.8
8.5
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Active Listening65%
Speaking60%
Coordination62%
Monitoring58%
Time Management55%

Career Pivot Paths

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Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders

7.0
/ 10
High Risk
70% automation risk

"You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven."

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COATING, PAINTING, AND SPRAYING MACHINE SETTERS, OPERATORS, AND TENDERS
7.0

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Animal Scientists (score: 2.0). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →