51-9196.00

Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders

Set up, operate, or tend paper goods machines that perform a variety of functions, such as converting, sawing, corrugating, banding, wrapping, boxing, stitching, forming, or sealing paper or paperboard sheets into products.

7.2OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

This role faces substantial AI disruption

More at risk than 69% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 67% probability of automation for this role
paper →
69%
of jobs safer
315
jobs riskier than this
-6.3%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

AI process control systems can optimize machine parameters for paper goods production, and modern equipment runs with high autonomy. Physical roll changes, managing paper breaks and jams, adjusting for substrate variations, and maintaining production quality on complex converting lines still require experienced operators. Through 2027 this role faces moderate automation pressure in large packaging operations but is sustained by the scale and variability of paper goods manufacturing; complete unmanned operation remains economically and technically challenging.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$49,390
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
-6.3%
Declining
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 2 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

7.2
8.0
8.7
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Active Listening65%
Speaking60%
Coordination62%
Monitoring58%
Time Management55%

Career Pivot Paths

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Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders

7.2
/ 10
High Risk
72% automation risk

"You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven."

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PAPER GOODS MACHINE SETTERS, OPERATORS, AND TENDERS
7.2

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Geography Teachers, Postsecondary (score: 2.5). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →