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53-2012.00

Commercial Pilots

Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate.

4.2OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Moderate Risk

AI will start nibbling at this role

Safer than 41% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 18% probability of automation for this role
paper →
41%
of jobs safer
83
jobs riskier than this
+4.0%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Commercial aviation is moving toward increasing automation but remains far from fully autonomous. Air traffic complexity, weather decision-making, emergency procedures, and regulatory requirements mandate licensed human pilots. The trajectory toward single-pilot or eventual autonomous commercial flight is long.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$111,930
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+4.0%
As fast as average
Education Required
Postsecondary nondegree award
Job Zone 4 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

4.2
4.5
4.8
5.4
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Critical Thinking80%
Active Learning75%
Complex Problem Solving78%
Judgment and Decision Making82%
Reading Comprehension72%

Career Pivot Paths

If you're a Commercial Pilots, consider pivoting toward these lower-risk roles:

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Commercial Pilots

4.2
/ 10
Moderate Risk
42% automation risk

"Safe-ish. AI is your coworker, not your replacement. Yet."

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I just checked if I'm cooked as a Commercial Pilots 🤖 AI risk score: 4.2/10 — Moderate Risk "Safe-ish. AI is your coworker, not your replacement. Yet." Check yours 👇 https://amicooked-five.vercel.app/results/53-2012.00 #AmICooked #AI #FutureOfWork

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COMMERCIAL PILOTS
4.2

/ 10

MODERATE RISK

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You're safer than a Retail Salespersons but riskier than a Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →