53-3052.00
Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
Drive bus or motor coach, including regular route operations, charters, and private carriage. May assist passengers with baggage. May collect fares or tickets.
This role faces substantial AI disruption
More at risk than 68% of occupations we track
Disruption Vector
Physical Robots
Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.
Bus drivers for transit and intercity routes operate vehicles in complex, mixed-traffic urban and highway environments — a role where autonomous vehicle technology from Waymo, May Mobility, and Navya is advancing but where full commercial deployment in public transit remains limited to low-speed, fixed-route shuttles in controlled environments. Major urban bus networks require AV technology to handle highly varied urban conditions that have not yet been fully solved. By 2027, autonomous bus pilots will expand but widespread displacement of transit bus drivers is unlikely, with the ADA passenger assistance and security functions providing additional resilience.
Salary & Job Outlook
AI Risk Timeline
Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.
Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability
Career Pivot Paths
If you're a Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity, consider pivoting toward these lower-risk roles:
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Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
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I just checked if I'm cooked as a Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity 🤖 AI risk score: 7.0/10 — High Risk "You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven." Check yours 👇 https://amicooked-five.vercel.app/results/53-3052.00 #AmICooked #AI #FutureOfWork
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You're more at risk than a Environmental Engineers (score: 1.7). Maybe it's time to rethink.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →