53-4022.00

Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers

Operate or monitor railroad track switches or locomotive instruments. May couple or uncouple rolling stock to make up or break up trains. Watch for and relay traffic signals. May inspect couplings, air hoses, journal boxes, and hand brakes. May watch for dragging equipment or obstacles on rights-of-way.

7.0OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

This role faces substantial AI disruption

More at risk than 68% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 50% probability of automation for this role
paper →
68%
of jobs safer
332
jobs riskier than this
+1.0%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers face ongoing automation as positive train control (PTC) systems and automated switching technology reduce the manual intervention required. AI-enhanced rail operations platforms (Wabtec Precision Scheduled Railroading AI) are optimizing train movements. Through 2027, headcount continues its long-term decline as automation absorbs more operational functions; new roles focus on system monitoring and exception handling for automated operations.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$65,480
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+1.0%
Little or no change
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 2 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

7.0
7.8
8.5
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Active Listening65%
Speaking60%
Coordination62%
Monitoring58%
Time Management55%

Career Pivot Paths

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Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers

7.0
/ 10
High Risk
70% automation risk

"You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven."

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RAILROAD BRAKE, SIGNAL, AND SWITCH OPERATORS AND LOCOMOTIVE FIRERS
7.0

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Security Management Specialists (score: 3.4). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →