53-5021.00

Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels

Command or supervise operations of ships and water vessels, such as tugboats and ferryboats. Required to hold license issued by U.S. Coast Guard.

3.8OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Low Risk

Your job is relatively safe from AI

Safer than 32% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 27% probability of automation for this role
paper →
32%
of jobs safer
690
jobs riskier than this
+0.5%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels operate commercial watercraft in navigational environments that require real-time judgment, weather assessment, and the handling of emergencies at sea. AI navigation assistance (Rolls-Royce Marine AI, Kongsberg autonomous shipping) is being tested, but crewed vessels remain the standard under international maritime law through 2027. The legal and safety accountability framework strongly protects human officer roles; AI functions as navigation and engine monitoring support.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$85,540
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+0.5%
Little or no change
Education Required
Postsecondary nondegree award
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

3.8
4.1
4.4
5.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Similar Safe Careers

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Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels

3.8
/ 10
Low Risk
38% automation risk

"The robots looked at your job and said 'nah, too human.'"

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CAPTAINS, MATES, AND PILOTS OF WATER VESSELS
3.8

/ 10

LOW RISK

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You're safer than 32% of all knowledge workers we track.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →