53-7041.00

Hoist and Winch Operators

Operate or tend hoists or winches to lift and pull loads using power-operated cable equipment.

7.1OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

This role faces substantial AI disruption

More at risk than 68% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 65% probability of automation for this role
paper →
68%
of jobs safer
328
jobs riskier than this
-1.1%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Hoist and winch operators control lifting equipment on construction sites, in mines, and on marine vessels where the real-time situational judgment required for safe load management is not yet automated. AI-assisted load monitoring and anti-sway technology (Konecranes AI) augments operator performance. The 2025-2027 outlook is stable; specialized hoisting work in demanding physical environments remains a human-operated domain through the forecast period.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$52,310
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
-1.1%
Little or no change
Education Required
No formal educational credential
Job Zone 2 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

7.1
7.8
8.6
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Active Listening65%
Speaking60%
Coordination62%
Monitoring58%
Time Management55%

Career Pivot Paths

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Hoist and Winch Operators

7.1
/ 10
High Risk
71% automation risk

"You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven."

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HOIST AND WINCH OPERATORS
7.1

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Energy Engineers, Except Wind and Solar (score: 1.6). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →