11-3013.01

Security Managers

Direct an organization's security functions, including physical security and safety of employees and facilities.

4.0OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Moderate Risk

AI will start nibbling at this role

Safer than 37% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 50% probability of automation for this role
paper →
37%
of jobs safer
639
jobs riskier than this
+3.8%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Hybrid Threat

Both AI software and physical automation threaten different aspects of this role, creating a compound risk from multiple directions.

Security managers are increasingly augmented by AI-driven surveillance platforms like Verkada and Axon's AI systems that automate anomaly detection, access-log analysis, and incident reporting. The strategic decision-making, vendor management, and crisis response coordination remain human-dependent, but AI reduces the need for large analyst teams underneath security managers. Expect the ratio of managers to frontline security staff to shift as automation handles routine monitoring through 2027.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsChatGPT / GPT-4oAmazon Robotics

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$104,690
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+3.8%
As fast as average
Education Required
Bachelor's degree
Job Zone 4 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

4.0
4.3
4.6
5.2
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Critical Thinking80%
Active Learning75%
Complex Problem Solving78%
Judgment and Decision Making82%
Reading Comprehension72%

Career Pivot Paths

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Security Managers

4.0
/ 10
Moderate Risk
40% automation risk

"Safe-ish. AI is your coworker, not your replacement. Yet."

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SECURITY MANAGERS
4.0

/ 10

MODERATE RISK

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This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →