15-2011.00

Actuaries

Analyze statistical data, such as mortality, accident, sickness, disability, and retirement rates, in order to forecast risk and liability for payment of future benefits. May ascertain premium rates required and cash reserves necessary to ensure payment of future benefits.

6.5OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Moderate Risk

AI will significantly reshape this role

Safer than 77% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 21% probability of automation for this role
paper →
77%
of jobs safer
32
jobs riskier than this
+22.0%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Software & AI

AI software systems—language models, automation tools, and intelligent algorithms—are the primary vector of disruption for this role.

AI is transforming actuarial work: predictive models for mortality, claims, and risk assessment are increasingly automated. The core analytical work that actuaries performed is now AI-assisted or automated. However, model validation, regulatory testimony, product development strategy, and communication of uncertainty in novel risk environments (climate change, pandemics) still require credentialed human actuaries.

Disrupted byGitHub CopilotChatGPT / GPT-4oSalesforce Einstein

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$120,000
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+22.0%
Much faster than average
Education Required
Bachelor's degree
Job Zone 5 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

6.5
7.3
8.0
9.5
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Critical Thinking80%
Active Learning75%
Complex Problem Solving78%
Judgment and Decision Making82%
Reading Comprehension72%

Career Pivot Paths

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Actuaries

6.5
/ 10
Moderate Risk
65% automation risk

"You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven."

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ACTUARIES
6.5

/ 10

MODERATE RISK

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This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →