19-2041.00

Environmental Scientists and Specialists

Conduct research or perform investigation for the purpose of identifying, abating, or eliminating sources of pollutants or hazards that affect either the environment or the health of the population.

4.5OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Moderate Risk

AI will start nibbling at this role

Safer than 48% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 25% probability of automation for this role
paper →
48%
of jobs safer
74
jobs riskier than this
+6.0%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Hybrid Threat

Both AI software and physical automation threaten different aspects of this role, creating a compound risk from multiple directions.

AI environmental monitoring, satellite analysis, and predictive pollution modeling are transforming environmental science. Routine data collection and analysis are increasingly automated. However, designing field studies, interpreting data in policy contexts, testifying before regulatory agencies, and providing the environmental review expertise required by law maintain strong human demand.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsChatGPT / GPT-4oAmazon Robotics

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$76,480
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+6.0%
Faster than average
Education Required
Bachelor's degree
Job Zone 4 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

4.5
4.8
5.1
5.7
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Critical Thinking80%
Active Learning75%
Complex Problem Solving78%
Judgment and Decision Making82%
Reading Comprehension72%

Career Pivot Paths

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Environmental Scientists and Specialists

4.5
/ 10
Moderate Risk
45% automation risk

"Safe-ish. AI is your coworker, not your replacement. Yet."

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ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENTISTS AND SPECIALISTS
4.5

/ 10

MODERATE RISK

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You're safer than a Web Developers but riskier than a Firefighters.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →