19-3011.00

Economists

Conduct research, prepare reports, or formulate plans to address economic problems related to the production and distribution of goods and services or monetary and fiscal policy.

6.5OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Moderate Risk

AI will significantly reshape this role

Safer than 77% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 43% probability of automation for this role
paper →
77%
of jobs safer
32
jobs riskier than this
+6.8%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Software & AI

AI software systems—language models, automation tools, and intelligent algorithms—are the primary vector of disruption for this role.

LLMs excel at economic analysis, literature synthesis, and data modeling — core economist tasks. AI tools now produce high-quality economic forecasts and policy analysis. However, novel research, testifying before Congress, advising on unprecedented policy challenges, and the credentialed authority of economists in public discourse still requires human judgment and expertise.

Disrupted byGitHub CopilotChatGPT / GPT-4oSalesforce Einstein

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$115,730
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+6.8%
Faster than average
Education Required
Master's degree
Job Zone 5 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

6.5
7.3
8.0
9.5
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Critical Thinking80%
Active Learning75%
Complex Problem Solving78%
Judgment and Decision Making82%
Reading Comprehension72%

Career Pivot Paths

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Economists

6.5
/ 10
Moderate Risk
65% automation risk

"LLMs write economic policy briefs now. Faster, cheaper, no parking validation needed."

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ECONOMISTS
6.5

/ 10

MODERATE RISK

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You're safer than a Team Assemblers but riskier than a Veterinarians.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →