23-1021.00

Administrative Law Judges, Adjudicators, and Hearing Officers

Conduct hearings to recommend or make decisions on claims concerning government programs or other government-related matters. Determine liability, sanctions, or penalties, or recommend the acceptance or rejection of claims or settlements.

7.0OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
High Risk

This role faces substantial AI disruption

More at risk than 68% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 64% probability of automation for this role
paper →
68%
of jobs safer
332
jobs riskier than this
-0.7%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Software & AI

AI software systems—language models, automation tools, and intelligent algorithms—are the primary vector of disruption for this role.

Administrative law judges face AI encroachment in case scheduling, legal research (through tools like LexisNexis AI and Westlaw AI), and document review that reduces pre-hearing preparation time. The adjudicative function itself—weighing credibility, applying law to contested facts, and writing reasoned decisions—requires human judicial authority and is legally protected. The 2025-2027 outlook is stable; AI improves efficiency but due process requirements ensure ALJ roles remain human-held.

Disrupted byGitHub CopilotChatGPT / GPT-4oSalesforce Einstein

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$115,230
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
-0.7%
Little or no change
Education Required
Doctoral or professional degree
Job Zone 5 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

7.0
7.8
8.5
10.0
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Critical Thinking80%
Active Learning75%
Complex Problem Solving78%
Judgment and Decision Making82%
Reading Comprehension72%

Career Pivot Paths

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Administrative Law Judges, Adjudicators, and Hearing Officers

7.0
/ 10
High Risk
70% automation risk

"You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven."

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ADMINISTRATIVE LAW JUDGES, ADJUDICATORS, AND HEARING OFFICERS
7.0

/ 10

HIGH RISK

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You're more at risk than a Audiologists (score: 2.5). Maybe it's time to rethink.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →