33-9032.00

Security Guards

Guard, patrol, or monitor premises to prevent theft, violence, or infractions of rules.

4.5OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Moderate Risk

AI will start nibbling at this role

Safer than 48% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 56% probability of automation for this role
paper →
48%
of jobs safer
74
jobs riskier than this
+4.0%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Hybrid Threat

Both AI software and physical automation threaten different aspects of this role, creating a compound risk from multiple directions.

AI surveillance systems (facial recognition, anomaly detection) automate much of monitoring, but physical security response, de-escalation, access control verification, and the deterrent effect of human presence still require security officers. The technology augments but hasn't replaced human guards.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsChatGPT / GPT-4oAmazon Robotics

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$36,910
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+4.0%
As fast as average
Education Required
High school diploma
Job Zone 2 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

4.5
4.8
5.1
5.7
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (1)
Mixed
Active Listening65%
Speaking60%
Coordination62%
Monitoring58%
Time Management55%

Career Pivot Paths

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Security Guards

4.5
/ 10
Moderate Risk
45% automation risk

"Safe-ish. AI is your coworker, not your replacement. Yet."

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SECURITY GUARDS
4.5

/ 10

MODERATE RISK

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This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →