47-2141.00

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

Paint walls, equipment, buildings, bridges, and other structural surfaces, using brushes, rollers, and spray guns. May remove old paint to prepare surface prior to painting. May mix colors or oils to obtain desired color or consistency.

Moderate Risk

AI will start nibbling at this role

Safer than 48% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 38% probability of automation for this role

paper →

48%

of jobs safer

jobs riskier than this

+4.8%

projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

Painting robots exist for industrial and automotive contexts, but construction painting — working in occupied buildings, navigating irregular surfaces, doing trim work, and adapting to weather — remains largely human. Automated painting systems are advancing but confined to new construction in controlled conditions. Skilled residential painters are in high demand.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay

$46,160

US Bureau of Labor Statistics

10-Year Job Growth

+4.8%

As fast as average

Education Required

No formal educational credential

Job Zone 2 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

4.5

4.8

5.1

5.7

Today

Current AI exposure

5 Years

Near-term outlook

10 Years

Medium-term risk

20 Years

Long-term trajectory

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)

AI-resistant (1)

Mixed

Active Listening65%

Speaking60%

Coordination62%

Monitoring58%

Time Management55%

Career Pivot Paths

If you're a Painters, Construction and Maintenance, consider pivoting toward these lower-risk roles:

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsFaster than average

Physical Robots·Risk: 1.5/10·-3.0 pts safer

Plumbers, Pipefitters, and SteamfittersFaster than average

Physical Robots·Risk: 2.0/10·-2.5 pts safer

Child, Family, and School Social WorkersFaster than average

Human-Centric·Risk: 1.8/10·-2.7 pts safer

Mental Health CounselorsMuch faster than average

Human-Centric·Risk: 1.5/10·-3.0 pts safer

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Painters, Construction and Maintenance

4.5

/ 10

Moderate Risk

45% automation risk

"Safe-ish. AI is your coworker, not your replacement. Yet."

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PAINTERS, CONSTRUCTION AND MAINTENANCE

4.5

/ 10

MODERATE RISK

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You're safer than a Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers but riskier than a Childcare Workers.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →