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53-1043.00

First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators

Directly supervise and coordinate activities of material-moving machine and vehicle operators and helpers.

5.5OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Moderate Risk

AI will partially reshape this role

Safer than 56% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 50% probability of automation for this role
paper →
56%
of jobs safer
445
jobs riskier than this
0.0%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators manage warehouse and logistics workers—a role being significantly affected by AI-driven warehouse management systems (Manhattan Associates, Blue Yonder WMS AI) and the spread of autonomous mobile robots (AMRs) that change how physical warehouse operations are organized. The supervisory judgment on safety, personnel management, and operational exceptions remains human. Through 2027, the role evolves toward managing human-robot collaborative workforces rather than purely human teams.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
N/A
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
0.0%
Little or no change
Education Required
Some college, no degree
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

5.5
5.8
6.1
6.7
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Career Pivot Paths

If you're a First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators, consider pivoting toward these lower-risk roles:

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First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators

5.5
/ 10
Moderate Risk
55% automation risk

"Safe-ish. AI is your coworker, not your replacement. Yet."

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FIRST-LINE SUPERVISORS OF MATERIAL-MOVING MACHINE AND VEHICLE OPERATORS
5.5

/ 10

MODERATE RISK

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You're safer than a First-Line Supervisors of Entertainment and Recreation Workers, Except Gambling Services but riskier than a Security Management Specialists.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →