37-1012.00

First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers

Directly supervise and coordinate activities of workers engaged in landscaping or groundskeeping activities. Work may involve reviewing contracts to ascertain service, machine, and workforce requirements; answering inquiries from potential customers regarding methods, material, and price ranges; and preparing estimates according to labor, material, and machine costs.

6.4OUT OF 10SAFEHIGH RISK
Moderate Risk

AI will significantly reshape this role

Safer than 60% of occupations we track

Frey & Osborne (2013) estimated 57% probability of automation for this role
paper →
60%
of jobs safer
408
jobs riskier than this
+2.3%
projected growth

Disruption Vector

Disruption Type

Physical Robots

Physical robotics, autonomous machines, and automated equipment are the main threat to the physical tasks in this occupation.

First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping Workers manage crew deployment, quality oversight, and client relationships for outdoor maintenance operations where physical site conditions vary constantly. AI-powered scheduling and route optimization tools (ServiceTitan, Jobber AI) improve operational efficiency, but supervising crews in varied outdoor environments requires physical presence and judgment. Through 2027, AI functions as an administrative aid while the field supervision function remains human-essential.

Disrupted byBoston DynamicsAmazon RoboticsTesla Optimus

Salary & Job Outlook

Median Annual Pay
$56,170
US Bureau of Labor Statistics
10-Year Job Growth
+2.3%
As fast as average
Education Required
High school diploma or equivalent
Job Zone 3 / 5

AI Risk Timeline

6.4
7.2
7.9
9.4
Today
5 Years
10 Years
20 Years

Projection model: Based on current AI capability growth rates. High-risk occupations are projected to see compounding automation pressure, while human-centric roles show slower risk accumulation. These are statistical projections, not guarantees.

Skills Analysis — AI Vulnerability

AI can replicate (0)
AI-resistant (2)
Mixed
Active Listening75%
Speaking72%
Service Orientation70%
Coordination68%
Time Management65%

Career Pivot Paths

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First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers

6.4
/ 10
Moderate Risk
64% automation risk

"You're not cooked yet, but someone's preheating the oven."

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AM I COOKED?

FIRST-LINE SUPERVISORS OF LANDSCAPING, LAWN SERVICE, AND GROUNDSKEEPING WORKERS
6.4

/ 10

MODERATE RISK

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You're safer than a Bartenders but riskier than a Wholesale and Retail Buyers, Except Farm Products.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on statistical models and academic research. It does not constitute career advice and is not a guarantee of future employment outcomes. AI impact varies significantly by employer, region, and individual circumstances. Learn about our methodology →